Leones Negros vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
UAT
4 - 0
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
REB
35%
27%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 3
PUM
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
LOB
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
IRA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
ORI
75%
18%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
DOR
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |