Leones Negros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
UDG
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 2
CAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
UDG
1 - 2
TEP
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
UAP
2 - 4
UDG
24%
29%
47%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
UDG
1 - 2
M05
20%
24%
57%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 1
CAF
20%
27%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CIM
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 0
TOR
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
JUA
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |