ULA Mérida vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ZUL
2 - 4
ULA
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ULA
3 - 1
URE
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
ULA
1 - 1
BAR
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FRO
4 - 0
ULA
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TIT
1 - 0
ULA
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
URE
2 - 0
TIT
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
URE
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ULA
3 - 1
URE
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 0
URE
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
URE
2 - 4
TIT
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |