ULA Mérida vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TIT
2 - 2
ULA
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 3
ULA
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ULA
1 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
URE
3 - 2
ULA
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
ULA
4 - 1
LLA
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 3
BAR
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
URE
3 - 0
FAL
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
LLA
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
FAL
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 3
YAR
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |