ULA Mérida vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 3
ULA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ULA
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ULA
2 - 1
CDS
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
ULA
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 2
LOT
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 2
SCG
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 3
ZAM
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDS
0 - 0
SCG
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
MET
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |