ULA Mérida vs Real Frontera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ULA
4 - 1
FAL
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
ULA
2 - 1
YAR
45%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TIT
0 - 3
ULA
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 2
ULA
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 1
ULA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
5 - 2
FRO
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TIT
0 - 2
FRO
33%
22%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FRO
0 - 1
URE
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 0
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 1
ULA
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |