ULA Mérida vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
4 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
URE
3 - 0
ULA
45%
24%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CDS
2 - 1
ULA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LOT
3 - 1
ULA
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
CDS
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
GVA
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 0
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |