ULA Mérida vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
URE
3 - 1
ULA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 3
LOT
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 1
SCG
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 3
ULA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ULA
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
SCG
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 1
POL
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
POL
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |