ULA Mérida vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 0
NEC
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
EST
3 - 2
ULA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 2
ULA
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1992 |
BSC
5 - 1
ULA
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
VAL
1 - 1
ULA
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 23 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1998 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
EST
3 - 0
MON
21%
24%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 2
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |