ULA Mérida vs Loteria del Tachira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GVA
1 - 3
ULA
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
0 - 3
ZAM
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POR
4 - 1
ULA
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
POL
60%
21%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Loteria del Tachira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
2 - 2
CDS
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
URE
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GVA
0 - 0
LOT
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 0
ZAM
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
POR
5 - 1
LOT
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |