ULA Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 1
ULA
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
ULA
3 - 1
FRO
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
3 - 1
ULA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
ULA
4 - 1
BAR
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
ULA
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
URE
3 - 1
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 1
ATL
41%
24%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
URE
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 3
LLA
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |