ULA Mérida vs Atlético Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ULA
3 - 0
ZAM
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
ULA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ULA
2 - 0
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TIT
2 - 1
ULA
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ULA
1 - 1
FRO
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ATG
4 - 1
TIT
42%
24%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ATG
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 3
ATG
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATG
1 - 0
URE
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ATG
3 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |