Univ de Chile vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 2
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
EME
0 - 1
UCH
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
UCH
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 5
UCH
16%
20%
64%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 4
UCH
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
HUA
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
4 - 1
MAG
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |