Univ. César Vallejo vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
AUR
55%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
LEO
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
SBO
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |