Univ. César Vallejo vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 3
LOS
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
4 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |