Univ. César Vallejo vs Tacna Heroica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
17.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.9%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
17%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.6%
1.6%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
6%
13%
82%
|
70 | 12 | 58 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
APA
92%
7%
1%
|
70 | 11 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 1
VAL
5%
12%
83%
|
71 | 10 | 61 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
NAC
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 13 | 57 | +1 |
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
EGB
0 - 0
FCA
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DET
0 - 3
EGB
14%
21%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 1
DET
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
EGB
34%
21%
45%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 0
VAL
5%
12%
82%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | +1 |