Univ. César Vallejo vs Alfredo Salinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
6 - 2
SPO
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 4
VAL
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 1
SBO
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 5
VAL
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BOC
3 - 1
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ALF
5 - 4
LOS
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALF
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 1
HUA
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
4 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |