Universidad Católica vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 2
UCE
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 0
EME
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BSC
2 - 0
UCE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
TEC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
IVT
4 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 1
IVT
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
EME
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |