Univ. San Marcos vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LOS
1 - 2
SMA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 0
DVM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AYA
0 - 1
SMA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
LOS
0 - 0
SMA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SMA
1 - 2
IAS
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
IAS
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
4 - 2
UTC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
DCU
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ALF
3 - 0
UTC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 1
LOS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |