Univ. San Marcos vs Real Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 1
SMA
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
SMA
0 - 1
LOS
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
DVM
1 - 2
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 0
AYA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
SMA
0 - 0
LOS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
RAC
0 - 2
IAS
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
ALF
0 - 2
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
RAC
4 - 3
DCU
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
LOS
2 - 2
RAC
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAL
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |