Univ. San Marcos vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOS
2 - 3
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 0
IAS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COB
3 - 0
SMA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 0
LOS
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SBO
1 - 1
SMA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SBO
3 - 1
MUN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 3
LOS
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IAS
1 - 1
MUN
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
3 - 2
ACO
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
COB
26%
28%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |