Univ. Queensland vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ACA
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
BRK
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
5 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
TOO
71%
15%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
4 - 0
BRK
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 3
GEO
7%
13%
80%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
3 - 0
GEO
33%
24%
44%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ACA
3 - 2
GEO
7%
12%
81%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -2 |