Univ. Queensland vs Rochedale Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 1
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 4
MIT
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
IPS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 2
IPS
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
3 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 3
ROC
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |