Univ. Queensland vs Rochedale Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RED
3 - 4
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLY
6 - 6
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 0
UNI
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 3
RED
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WOL
0 - 2
ROC
43%
23%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
BRI
69%
18%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
QUE
0 - 3
ROC
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ROC
5 - 0
NPI
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |