Univ. Queensland vs Redlands United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 0
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 4
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 5
WOL
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 0
UNI
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Redlands United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 2
RED
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
RED
3 - 1
UNI
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
RED
5 - 2
BRI
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 4
RED
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
RED
3 - 2
ROC
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |