Univ. Queensland vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 0
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 5
ROC
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
QUE
3 - 1
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
LOG
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 1
ROC
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 3
EAS
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 4
QUE
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |