Univ. Queensland vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
UNI
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NPI
1 - 2
UNI
45%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
TAR
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 0
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 4
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
QUE
5 - 0
NPI
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
QUE
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 2
WOL
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 0
EAS
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
QUE
8 - 2
NOR
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |