Univ. Queensland vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 1
UNI
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
EAS
6 - 1
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 6
QUE
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -2 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 2
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 2
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
IPS
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |