Univ. Queensland vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 1
UNI
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
EAS
6 - 1
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 6
QUE
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
IPS
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 1
PEN
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -3 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 2
TAR
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |