Univ. Queensland vs Olympic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAP
4 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNI
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUE
18%
21%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
UNI
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olympic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 0
CAP
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
OLY
3 - 3
TAR
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 7
OLY
11%
17%
73%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
OLY
1 - 2
QUE
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 6
ROC
23%
22%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |