Univ. Queensland vs Newmarket analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
UNI
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
MGH
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
WES
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RED
1 - 2
UNI
40%
21%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newmarket
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
SPR
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 2
STO
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 4
NEW
16%
17%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRI
76%
14%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRK
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |