Univ. Queensland vs Mt Gravatt Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MGH
1 - 5
UNI
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NPI
0 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 1
RED
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
OLY
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mt Gravatt Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MGH
1 - 5
UNI
50%
23%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MGH
1 - 0
BRI
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
WOL
9 - 1
MGH
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
MGH
1 - 5
CAP
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 4
MGH
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |