Univ. Queensland vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 4
ALB
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
EAS
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
MIT
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
LOG
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
QUE
21%
21%
59%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
MIT
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |