Univ. Queensland vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
UNI
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 5
WOL
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 3
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 3
LOG
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
ROC
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 0
LOG
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 2
IPS
48%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
LOG
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |