Univ. Queensland vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
UNI
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +5 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPS
1 - 4
MIT
24%
22%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
IPS
1 - 4
EAS
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 0
IPS
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IPS
3 - 3
ALB
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
IPS
1 - 2
ROC
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |