Univ. Queensland vs Grange Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
GAP
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
5 - 1
STO
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 4
UNI
26%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
BRK
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 5
GRA
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
GAP
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
5 - 1
GRA
65%
17%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -4 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
NPI
76%
14%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MGH
1 - 1
GRA
11%
16%
74%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |