Univ. Queensland vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
74.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
HPH
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
UNI
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
NPI
33%
21%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
QUE
6%
13%
81%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 1
EAS
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 2
HPH
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 3
EAS
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 1
NPI
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |