Univ. Queensland vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 4
UNI
26%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ACA
2 - 1
UNI
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
BRK
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
GAP
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 2
GRA
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
STO
4 - 0
ACA
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
BRK
2 - 3
STO
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GAP
3 - 0
STO
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -3 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
STO
0 - 3
ALB
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |