Univ. Queensland vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
NPI
29%
24%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 1
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
OLY
2 - 1
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 3
EAS
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 1
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
RED
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAP
4 - 0
MGH
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 4
CAP
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |