Univ. Queensland vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
PIN
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
BRI
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WOL
4 - 1
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 0
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 0
OLY
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 2
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |