Univ. Queensland vs Brisbane Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
ROC
8%
13%
79%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 0
UNI
93%
6%
2%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 3
IPS
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
ALB
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 3
CAP
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ROC
5 - 2
BRI
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
PEN
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |