Univ. Queensland vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 5
CAP
15%
20%
66%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
QUE
5 - 0
UNI
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
NPI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 4
ALB
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
6 - 5
BRI
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | -1 |