Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
COQ
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
OHI
0 - 0
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
ULC
1 - 2
UCO
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OHI
2 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 3
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |