Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
COQ
2 - 2
UCO
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
UCO
16%
21%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
12%
18%
71%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |