Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
ACS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 3
IQU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COL
0 - 3
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
4 - 2
ULC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCH
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |