Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
CSD
1 - 2
UCO
19%
24%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
USF
2 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 2
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 0
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 0
UCO
33%
24%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |