Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 4-6
Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
OHI
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
PAL
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 2
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 0
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |