Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 0
COB
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
OHI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
USF
0 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
4 - 2
UCO
18%
22%
61%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |