Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
3 - 4
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
CIE
4 - 0
UCO
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
USF
72%
17%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
CDP
1 - 2
UCO
22%
24%
55%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |