Univ. Concepción vs Unión Temuco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
LOT
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 1
IQU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Temuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 2
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
CUR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
UNI
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |